Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
40.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
INS
1 - 4
GLE
20%
24%
56%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
GLE
1 - 1
GLE
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
2 - 1
DER
83%
12%
5%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
GLE
4 - 0
BAL
66%
20%
15%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2018 |
NEW
1 - 2
GLE
21%
23%
56%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 0
NEW
75%
16%
9%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
QOS
4 - 3
CRU
21%
20%
59%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +7 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CRU
0 - 3
COL
46%
25%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
4 - 1
PSN
84%
12%
5%
|
67 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
WAR
1 - 2
CRU
18%
21%
61%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |