Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
DUN
1 - 4
GLE
26%
22%
52%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 3
FHH
29%
22%
50%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
FHH
3 - 0
GLE
73%
17%
11%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
42%
23%
35%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 5
LIN
39%
24%
37%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
CRU
1 - 1
BRO
61%
20%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
BRO
4 - 0
CRU
31%
24%
45%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2014 |
FKE
1 - 2
CRU
44%
24%
32%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
CRU
3 - 1
FKE
56%
23%
22%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
CLI
3 - 2
CRU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |