Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
45.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
COL
3 - 2
GLE
43%
25%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2013 |
ARD
1 - 2
GLE
31%
25%
44%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
BAL
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2013 |
POR
2 - 4
GLE
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 1
INS
57%
21%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
POR
0 - 1
CRU
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
2 - 0
WAR
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 0
CRU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 2
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2013 |
CRU
4 - 1
COL
67%
19%
14%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |