Glenavon vs Crusaders analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
60.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
1 - 0
GLE
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 0
BAL
41%
25%
35%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 2
GLE
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 1
DUN
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
GLE
2 - 0
GLE
76%
16%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Crusaders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
2 - 0
DUN
82%
13%
6%
|
70 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 1
CRU
23%
22%
56%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
0 - 1
LIN
46%
24%
30%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 3
CRU
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
CRU
44%
24%
32%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |