Glenavon vs Coleraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
7º
10º
7º
58
2º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 1
GLE
26%
24%
51%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 0
GLE
68%
19%
13%
|
56 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
NEW
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
POR
3 - 1
GLE
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Coleraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
42%
25%
33%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
BAL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
LIN
2 - 0
COL
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
COL
1 - 0
NEW
77%
16%
7%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | 0 |