Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
5º
5º
50
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
47 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
50 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
28 | 9 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 6 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
37 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 0 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
2 - 0
GLE
49%
23%
28%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
27%
25%
49%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LOU
3 - 1
GLE
49%
23%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
GLE
3 - 2
NEW
71%
18%
12%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
GLE
1 - 2
LOU
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
LOU
39%
26%
34%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 3
CAR
20%
23%
57%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
53%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DUN
3 - 2
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 3
LIN
24%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |