Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 1
BAL
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 4
LAR
27%
25%
49%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CLI
1 - 1
GLE
55%
22%
23%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
27%
25%
48%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
WAR
1 - 2
GLE
25%
23%
53%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
CRU
1 - 3
CAR
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
LIN
15%
23%
62%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 2
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
BAL
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2021 |
GLE
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |