Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.3%
6.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 0
COL
70%
18%
12%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2016 |
GLE
0 - 1
DUN
76%
15%
9%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
1 - 1
GLE
73%
17%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
GLE
3 - 2
CLI
54%
21%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
ARD
0 - 1
GLE
20%
23%
57%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DUN
3 - 1
CAR
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LIN
3 - 0
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
COL
28%
27%
45%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
POR
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
DUN
30%
25%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |