Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
7.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 0
GLE
35%
26%
40%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GLE
3 - 2
LIN
48%
24%
29%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 2
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
GLE
5 - 1
BAL
75%
16%
10%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CLI
1 - 1
GLE
57%
22%
21%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
COL
2 - 1
CAR
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
POR
3 - 2
CAR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 2
BAL
36%
25%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LIN
1 - 1
CAR
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
14%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |