Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.3%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DON
1 - 1
GLE
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
COL
3 - 1
GLE
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 1
POR
21%
21%
59%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
GLE
2 - 3
LIS
57%
22%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LIN
2 - 0
GLE
71%
19%
10%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
3 - 3
CLI
15%
23%
62%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 2
GLE
15%
22%
63%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
KRF
1 - 3
CAR
22%
22%
57%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 4
COL
16%
24%
59%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2011 |
LIS
3 - 1
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |