Glenavon vs Carrick Rangers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 3
GLE
47%
25%
28%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
GLE
1 - 2
LIN
20%
23%
56%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
1 - 0
GLE
42%
25%
33%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 4
GLE
34%
25%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
GLE
3 - 0
DON
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Carrick Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 2
CRU
20%
23%
58%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
CLI
1 - 0
CAR
65%
20%
14%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
CAR
2 - 1
BAL
56%
23%
21%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
BAN
3 - 2
CAR
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
LAR
0 - 2
CAR
34%
25%
41%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | +1 |