Glenavon vs Ballymena United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
6º
12º
9º
19
9º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 80 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
78 | 78 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
GLE
15%
21%
64%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
1 - 3
CRU
29%
25%
46%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
GLE
0 - 2
LIN
32%
26%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
LAR
4 - 1
GLE
58%
22%
19%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
COL
2 - 3
GLE
58%
22%
21%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 1
COL
16%
24%
61%
|
54 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
CLI
2 - 0
BAL
75%
17%
9%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
BAL
31%
26%
43%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
LAR
18%
25%
57%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |