Glenavon vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.3%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
CLI
1 - 1
GLE
32%
24%
45%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
0 - 2
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COL
1 - 1
GLE
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
5 - 0
RRF
95%
4%
1%
|
71 | 13 | 58 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
GLE
1 - 3
WAR
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
4 - 1
ARD
85%
11%
4%
|
49 | 71 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2019 |
ARD
1 - 2
COL
14%
23%
63%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
CLI
4 - 1
ARD
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 1
CAR
36%
24%
40%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
ARD
0 - 2
LIN
12%
21%
67%
|
51 | 76 | 25 | 0 |