Glenavon vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
8.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Glenavon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
32%
25%
44%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 3
GLE
39%
25%
36%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
7 - 0
SYL
84%
11%
5%
|
57 | 26 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
GLE
2 - 5
CLI
29%
24%
47%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 2
POR
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
LIN
3 - 3
ARD
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2014 |
ARC
3 - 1
ARD
53%
22%
24%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
1 - 3
DUN
38%
26%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 3
CLI
11%
20%
69%
|
48 | 71 | 23 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ARD
2 - 2
ARC
46%
24%
31%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |