Piast Gliwice vs Zaglebie Lubin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
8º
8º
8
11º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 56 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 52 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 52 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 51 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 48 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
|
3º
|
15 | 48 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 47 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
2% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 42 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
|
14º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 39 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
4% | 1.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
14% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 28% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
STA
2 - 0
PGL
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 2
GKS
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WAR
1 - 2
PGL
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 0
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
KSN
3 - 1
PGL
9%
15%
76%
|
77 | 42 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
Zaglebie Lubin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
0 - 1
LPO
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 1
ZAL
40%
26%
35%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
ZAL
1 - 0
PUS
46%
27%
27%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
ZAL
2 - 2
POG
40%
28%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
WAR
2 - 0
ZAL
44%
25%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |