Piast Gliwice vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
26%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
5º
18º
5º
45
5º
18º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
75 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 60 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
45 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
43 | 43 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 41 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
41 | 41 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
41 | 41 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
38 | 38 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
37 | 37 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 33 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
23 | 23 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
KOR
1 - 1
PGL
20%
28%
52%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2022 |
PGL
1 - 2
RAD
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
PGL
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
POG
1 - 1
PGL
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2022 |
PGL
1 - 2
WLO
61%
24%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2022 |
RAD
2 - 3
WAR
51%
27%
22%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
0 - 0
GÓR
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
WAR
19%
24%
57%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
2 - 0
JAG
35%
27%
38%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
WAR
1 - 0
WAR
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |