Piast Gliwice vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
11º
10º
29
7º
17º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 63 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 36 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2.5% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 89.5% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 2.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
PGL
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 3
PGL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PGL
3 - 3
GDA
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
KOR
0 - 2
PGL
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
RCH
1 - 4
PGL
46%
26%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
POG
43%
27%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
6 - 2
MOT
47%
27%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
MOT
3 - 4
WLO
42%
27%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
1 - 2
MOT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
USK
1 - 1
MOT
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |