Piast Gliwice vs Lech Poznań analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
11º
11º
41
1º
7º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
21% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
9.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 48 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 41 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
18.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 29 |
18º
|
66.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 40.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
2% | 33.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
93% | 26% |
|
Relegation
|
5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
GÓR
1 - 0
PGL
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 3
MOT
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 1
PGL
46%
27%
27%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
ARK
1 - 3
PGL
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
PGL
3 - 3
GDA
38%
27%
35%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lech Poznań
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 0
GKS
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
LPO
5 - 2
WAR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
PUS
2 - 0
LPO
41%
27%
32%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
2 - 1
RAD
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
CRA
0 - 2
LPO
44%
26%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |