GKS Katowice vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
33.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
14º
12º
12
1º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 56 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 52 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 52 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 51 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 48 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 48 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 47 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
2% | |
|
|
9º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 42 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 39 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
1% | 9.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5% | 19% |
|
Mid-table
|
71% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
23% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GKS Katowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
0 - 0
MOT
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2024 |
PGL
2 - 2
GKS
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
0 - 1
RAK
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
GKS
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
GKS
3 - 1
UTS
83%
12%
5%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 4
AJA
20%
20%
60%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 4
CRA
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 1
JAG
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
BOG
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |