GKS Katowice vs Piast Gliwice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
27.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
8º
13º
9º
25
2º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 60 |
2º
|
22% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 55 |
4º
|
12.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 53 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 53 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 51 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 50 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
26 | 47 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 44 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
12º
|
7% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 39 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
10% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
17.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 29 |
18º
|
63.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
4.5% | 0.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
92.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
3% | 8.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GKS Katowice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
GKS
2 - 2
POD
63%
20%
17%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2025 |
GKS
1 - 0
STA
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2025 |
GKS
1 - 0
ARK
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2025 |
GKS
4 - 3
FCV
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2025 |
GKS
1 - 3
NYI
56%
23%
21%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Piast Gliwice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
SLA
1 - 3
PGL
45%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2025 |
ZAG
1 - 2
PGL
22%
24%
54%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
STA
2 - 2
PGL
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
PGL
0 - 0
WAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
PGL
1 - 0
FTC
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |