Jastrzębie vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
GDA
2 - 2
MGJ
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2007 |
MGJ
1 - 0
MOT
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
ODR
1 - 1
MGJ
46%
27%
27%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
MGJ
2 - 2
POL
20%
26%
55%
|
50 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
MGJ
3 - 1
LOM
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 1
PLO
20%
25%
54%
|
53 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2007 |
PGL
2 - 2
WAR
55%
23%
22%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2007 |
WAR
0 - 3
TUR
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
ARK
4 - 0
WAR
65%
21%
14%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
WAR
1 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |