Jastrzębie vs Świt Skolwin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
14º
14º
11
3º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 72 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 64 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 56 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 56 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 52 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 43 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 40 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 36 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 29 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 41% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 19.5% |
|
Relegation
|
39.5% | 33.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
2 - 4
TSP
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POD
1 - 1
MGJ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2024 |
TSP
2 - 0
MGJ
61%
20%
19%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
0 - 1
PGM
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
MGJ
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Świt Skolwin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 3
POD
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PGM
4 - 1
SKO
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKO
3 - 0
OLI
56%
25%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HUT
0 - 1
SKO
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
SKO
1 - 1
KAL
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |