Jastrzębie vs Gwardia Koszalin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
ENE
2 - 1
MGJ
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2018 |
MGJ
0 - 0
SIA
53%
23%
24%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
MGJ
3 - 1
KSL
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
GKS
2 - 1
MGJ
41%
28%
31%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
ROZ
3 - 1
MGJ
32%
29%
40%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gwardia Koszalin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
GWA
3 - 3
STA
17%
22%
61%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
STA
0 - 0
GWA
67%
21%
13%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
GWA
0 - 1
GRY
28%
26%
47%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2018 |
GWA
4 - 3
KLU
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
GWA
1 - 3
GKS
15%
22%
63%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | 0 |