Jastrzębie vs Chojniczanka Chojnice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
1º
14º
14º
17
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 72 |
1º
|
56% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 64 |
2º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 61 |
3º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 61 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
6º
|
17 | 56 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 56 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 55 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 52 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 46 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 45 |
10º
|
10% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 44 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 43 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 40 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
|
13º
|
9 | 36 |
14º
|
15% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 35 |
15º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 35 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
18º
|
2 | 29 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 25 |
18º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
1% | 52.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
34.5% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25% | 1.5% |
|
Relegation
|
39.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jastrzębie
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
MGJ
1 - 2
WIS
36%
26%
38%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
2 - 1
MGJ
29%
28%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
1 - 0
SKO
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
2 - 4
TSP
33%
27%
41%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
POD
1 - 1
MGJ
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chojniczanka Chojnice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 1
POD
46%
25%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PGM
1 - 1
CHO
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
CHO
2 - 0
OLI
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HUT
3 - 2
CHO
38%
25%
36%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
0 - 1
KAL
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |