GKS Bełchatów vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
14.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
GKS Bełchatów
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2009 |
TSP
1 - 0
GKS
32%
29%
38%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 2
GKS
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
GKS
1 - 1
ARK
64%
22%
14%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CRA
1 - 0
GKS
39%
29%
33%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
POL
1 - 0
GKS
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Jagiellonia Bialystok
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
OWD
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
JAG
0 - 2
GKS
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TSP
1 - 0
JAG
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
JAG
2 - 1
POL
44%
26%
29%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2009 |
GDA
3 - 1
JAG
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |