Real Giulianova vs Vigor Lamezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
57.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
3 - 0
GIU
65%
21%
15%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 1
NEA
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
1 - 0
RAA
33%
30%
37%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
LAQ
2 - 0
GIU
63%
22%
15%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
GIU
0 - 2
ASM
45%
26%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vigor Lamezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
VIG
1 - 0
APR
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
RAA
0 - 4
VIG
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 0
VIG
33%
27%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
VIG
3 - 2
ARZ
56%
23%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
GAV
2 - 2
VIG
35%
27%
39%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |