Real Giulianova vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
43.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
USF
2 - 0
GIU
66%
22%
12%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
TER
1 - 1
GIU
70%
20%
11%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
GIU
0 - 1
SSM
31%
27%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
TER
1 - 0
GIU
64%
23%
13%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
PRG
1 - 0
GIU
77%
18%
5%
|
44 | 73 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2007 |
TAR
2 - 1
VIR
47%
28%
25%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2007 |
VIR
0 - 1
RAV
28%
28%
44%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2007 |
SSS
1 - 0
VIR
46%
28%
26%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2007 |
VIR
1 - 0
CAV
34%
30%
37%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2007 |
SAN
1 - 0
VIR
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |