Real Giulianova vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
27%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
LOD
4 - 0
GIU
50%
24%
26%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 2
FIA
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
AVE
2 - 0
GIU
64%
21%
14%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
GIU
0 - 0
BEN
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
VIT
2 - 1
GIU
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
PAL
3 - 1
MAR
69%
20%
11%
|
37 | 59 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 2
ASC
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2000 |
LOD
1 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
23%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
CRO
20%
25%
56%
|
37 | 65 | 28 | -1 |