Real Giulianova vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Giulianova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
BEN
1 - 0
GIU
52%
27%
21%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
GIU
2 - 0
CHI
44%
27%
30%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TER
2 - 1
GIU
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
GIU
1 - 1
VIS
42%
29%
30%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
MAR
4 - 1
GIU
63%
21%
16%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
SOR
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
FER
2 - 0
VIR
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
USF
2 - 1
FER
68%
20%
12%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
FER
0 - 2
BEN
38%
28%
34%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
PAT
1 - 0
FER
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -2 |