Girona vs Villarreal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.6%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.3%
64.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.9%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
GIR
2 - 5
SAB
59%
23%
19%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
AZK
1 - 1
GIR
28%
26%
45%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
GIR
0 - 1
BAD
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIJ
2 - 1
GIR
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALI
37%
26%
36%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
4 - 0
NUM
66%
21%
13%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2004 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VIL
57%
23%
20%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
MLL
1 - 1
VIL
48%
25%
27%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
VIL
2 - 0
ZAR
44%
27%
29%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
VIL
3 - 0
HIF
61%
23%
17%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |