Girona vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.5%
18.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BAD
6 - 3
GIR
64%
17%
19%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
GIR
2 - 2
HUE
58%
20%
23%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
OVI
4 - 1
GIR
72%
15%
12%
|
53 | 70 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
GIR
4 - 0
LOG
65%
18%
18%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
OSA
5 - 2
GIR
57%
20%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
SGL
1 - 0
SPO
40%
24%
36%
|
47 | 73 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
6 - 0
SGL
66%
17%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
SGL
5 - 2
NUM
63%
19%
19%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
UES
4 - 1
SGL
74%
13%
13%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SAB
7 - 0
SGL
82%
11%
8%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | -1 |