Girona vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.3%
10.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
GIR
4 - 2
ARO
85%
10%
6%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
RCF
3 - 2
GIR
58%
19%
23%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
GIR
1 - 4
RAC
44%
23%
33%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
NUM
6 - 0
GIR
39%
25%
36%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
GIR
1 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
33%
|
56 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 1950 |
BAD
3 - 1
SGL
75%
13%
12%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 2
ARO
76%
13%
11%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 1
SGL
65%
17%
18%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
5 - 0
RCF
35%
21%
44%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 06 Jan. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 4
RCF
37%
21%
42%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |