Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 5-3
Girona vs UE Sant Andreu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
14.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
AGD
5 - 3
GIR
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
GIR
1 - 2
PUE
51%
28%
22%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
XER
3 - 1
GIR
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
GIR
2 - 1
VIN
67%
21%
12%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
POR
2 - 2
GIR
51%
28%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
UE Sant Andreu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
UES
1 - 1
CCF
44%
30%
26%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1978 |
LEV
4 - 0
UES
78%
15%
6%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1978 |
UES
2 - 0
ONT
66%
22%
11%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SEV
0 - 0
UES
60%
26%
15%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
UES
5 - 1
OLI
67%
23%
11%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |