Copa del Rey Quarter-finals
Global 3-7
Girona vs Real Madrid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
69.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GIR
0 - 2
FCB
9%
17%
74%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
4 - 2
GIR
83%
12%
6%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
BET
3 - 2
GIR
55%
23%
21%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
ATM
3 - 3
GIR
65%
22%
13%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
GIR
1 - 1
ALA
45%
26%
29%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Real Madrid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
ESP
2 - 4
RMA
9%
16%
75%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
4 - 2
GIR
83%
12%
6%
|
92 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
RMA
2 - 0
SEV
76%
15%
9%
|
92 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
LEG
1 - 0
RMA
9%
17%
75%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
BET
1 - 2
RMA
15%
19%
66%
|
92 | 86 | 6 | 0 |