Segunda Playoffs Final
Global 2-3
Girona vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 2
GIR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ALM
0 - 0
GIR
40%
26%
33%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
GIR
3 - 0
ALM
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
GIR
19%
25%
57%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALC
57%
25%
17%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
RAY
1 - 2
GIR
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
LEG
1 - 2
RAY
42%
27%
31%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2021 |
RAY
3 - 0
LEG
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2021 |
RAY
0 - 1
LUG
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
CAS
0 - 2
RAY
14%
23%
64%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |