Girona vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
24.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
GIR
0 - 0
GIM
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
OVI
2 - 0
GIR
27%
28%
45%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
GIR
1 - 2
CAD
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
REU
1 - 2
GIR
19%
28%
53%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
GIR
5 - 1
GET
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
NUM
0 - 0
RAY
33%
26%
42%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
RAY
2 - 0
OVI
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAD
1 - 0
RAY
30%
26%
44%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
RAY
0 - 0
REU
72%
19%
10%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
GET
1 - 0
RAY
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |