Girona vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
15.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
UES
3 - 4
GIR
68%
16%
16%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
SAB
3 - 0
GIR
73%
15%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
GIR
3 - 2
RCF
63%
18%
19%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
SGL
3 - 0
GIR
49%
21%
30%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
GIR
1 - 0
BAD
69%
16%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
NUM
1 - 2
SPO
44%
23%
33%
|
52 | 73 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
NUM
5 - 3
BAR
50%
21%
29%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Dec. 1950 |
UES
4 - 3
NUM
70%
15%
14%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1950 |
NUM
2 - 2
SAB
44%
22%
34%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1950 |
RCF
0 - 0
NUM
66%
17%
17%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |