Girona vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
53.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1948 |
VAL
3 - 1
GIR
84%
10%
6%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
GIR
4 - 2
SPO
24%
24%
52%
|
46 | 73 | 27 | +2 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
RAC
7 - 1
GIR
88%
8%
4%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
CDC
7 - 2
GIR
63%
19%
19%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 1948 |
GIR
2 - 0
TOR
84%
10%
6%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
LEV
49%
21%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1948 |
BAD
3 - 4
HER
45%
22%
33%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1948 |
HER
4 - 2
RSO
45%
22%
33%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 1948 |
CAS
4 - 3
HER
53%
20%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1948 |
RCF
2 - 1
HER
52%
20%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |