Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-7
Girona vs Espanyol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
58.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1941 |
GIR
4 - 1
CON
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CON
1 - 0
GIR
44%
22%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAD
75%
15%
11%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BAD
1 - 1
GIR
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
GIR
1 - 0
SAB
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Espanyol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
63%
17%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
2 - 3
ATM
58%
20%
22%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1941 |
HER
3 - 2
ESP
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1941 |
ESP
3 - 0
ZAR
79%
13%
8%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1941 |
VCF
3 - 0
ESP
51%
21%
29%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |