Copa del Rey 1/32
Global 4-2
Girona vs Constància analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
18.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CON
1 - 0
GIR
44%
22%
34%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1941 |
GIR
2 - 0
BAD
75%
15%
11%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1941 |
BAD
1 - 1
GIR
31%
22%
47%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
GIR
1 - 0
SAB
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
BET
4 - 3
GIR
74%
15%
11%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Constància
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1941 |
CON
1 - 0
GIR
44%
22%
34%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 0
SDC
49%
21%
30%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1941 |
CON
3 - 3
ELC
63%
18%
19%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1941 |
SDC
3 - 2
CON
62%
19%
19%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 1941 |
ELC
0 - 1
CON
56%
20%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | +1 |