Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 1-2
Girona vs Calella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
GAN
2 - 1
GIR
46%
28%
26%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
CAL
2 - 0
GIR
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -2 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAD
61%
23%
16%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
PBL
1 - 1
GIR
44%
28%
27%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
GIR
2 - 0
ATB
65%
22%
14%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Calella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1971 |
CAL
1 - 1
IBI
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1971 |
CAL
2 - 0
GIR
55%
23%
22%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 1971 |
EUR
1 - 0
CAL
39%
29%
33%
|
48 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1971 |
CAL
2 - 0
FCB
38%
26%
37%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1971 |
ACE
3 - 2
CAL
48%
27%
25%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |