Copa del Rey 1/256
Global 2-2
Girona vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
21.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
TER
1 - 0
GIR
62%
23%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
IBI
0 - 1
GIR
49%
26%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
GIR
2 - 1
BAD
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CAL
2 - 0
GIR
59%
23%
19%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
GIR
1 - 1
ALC
33%
27%
39%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1970 |
TOL
0 - 3
BAR
26%
27%
47%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1970 |
BAR
1 - 0
GIM
47%
27%
26%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
BAR
0 - 5
BAR
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
CAN
1 - 1
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
BAR
2 - 0
LEM
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | +1 |