Girona vs Alicante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
36.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 1
GIR
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 1
HUE
78%
15%
7%
|
55 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 0
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
FCB
1 - 2
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALI
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Alicante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
3 - 1
BEN
75%
17%
9%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HER
0 - 1
ALI
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
0 - 0
GIR
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
ALI
5 - 0
OSA
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
GIR
1 - 0
ALI
37%
25%
38%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |