Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 4-3
Girona vs Deportivo Alavés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
28.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Girona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
GIR
1 - 1
ATM
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 90 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 3
GIR
47%
26%
27%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
GIR
0 - 0
LEG
58%
24%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
VCF
0 - 1
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 2
GIR
48%
27%
26%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Alavés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
ALA
1 - 1
SEV
28%
26%
46%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
LEG
1 - 0
ALA
32%
27%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
OSA
0 - 2
ALA
33%
28%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ALA
2 - 1
HUE
58%
24%
18%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
EIB
2 - 1
ALA
49%
25%
25%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | -1 |