Gippsland Falcons vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
33.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
GIF
72%
16%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 0
ADE
32%
28%
41%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
CSC
4 - 1
GIF
61%
21%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 1
SYD
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 1998 |
SOU
2 - 1
GIF
72%
16%
11%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1998 |
WAD
1 - 1
SOU
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 3
WAD
33%
25%
42%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1998 |
WAD
2 - 1
BRI
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1998 |
ADE
3 - 1
WAD
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1998 |
WAD
0 - 3
CSC
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |