Gippsland Falcons vs West Adelaide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
GIF
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
GIF
3 - 2
SYD
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1998 |
NCB
1 - 5
GIF
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 1998 |
GIF
1 - 2
MEL
29%
25%
46%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 1998 |
BRI
1 - 2
GIF
71%
17%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
West Adelaide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 0
WAD
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
WAD
0 - 2
MAR
42%
25%
33%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1998 |
SYD
3 - 0
WAD
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1998 |
WAD
1 - 1
ADE
40%
25%
35%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1998 |
WAD
3 - 1
NCB
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |