Gippsland Falcons vs Sydney Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.7%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
MAR
5 - 1
GIF
71%
17%
12%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1999 |
GIF
0 - 1
NCB
48%
27%
26%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
WAD
0 - 0
GIF
62%
20%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
GIF
2 - 1
CSC
28%
27%
46%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
MEL
2 - 2
GIF
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sydney Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1999 |
SYD
1 - 1
SOU
42%
25%
34%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1999 |
SYD
2 - 1
SYD
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1999 |
NCB
1 - 1
SYD
34%
25%
41%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1999 |
SYD
5 - 0
MAR
44%
25%
32%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1999 |
BRI
2 - 1
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |