Gippsland Falcons vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
54.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SYD
1 - 0
GIF
75%
16%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
GIF
1 - 1
PAP
28%
26%
45%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2000 |
NCB
2 - 0
GIF
70%
18%
12%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2000 |
GIF
0 - 1
SOU
24%
26%
51%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SYD
0 - 1
GIF
61%
22%
17%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
SOU
5 - 1
NZK
64%
20%
17%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2000 |
SFC
0 - 3
SOU
38%
25%
37%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
SOU
3 - 1
NZK
61%
21%
18%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SOU
1 - 1
SYD
49%
23%
28%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
SYD
2 - 2
SOU
56%
22%
22%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |