Gippsland Falcons vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
27.3%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
PER
2 - 1
GIF
59%
21%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1998 |
CCO
1 - 3
GIF
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
GIF
0 - 0
WAD
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1998 |
MAR
3 - 0
GIF
68%
18%
14%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1998 |
GIF
3 - 2
SYD
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
SOU
1 - 2
SOU
41%
24%
35%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1998 |
MAR
0 - 0
SOU
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
SOU
3 - 2
SYD
56%
22%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1998 |
ADE
4 - 2
SOU
55%
24%
20%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1998 |
NCB
1 - 2
SOU
44%
25%
31%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | +1 |