Gippsland Falcons vs South Coast Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
16.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gippsland Falcons
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1995 |
SOU
5 - 1
GIF
61%
20%
18%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1995 |
GIF
0 - 1
SOU
50%
23%
27%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
GIF
3 - 2
SYD
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
PAE
1 - 2
GIF
51%
23%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
GIF
4 - 3
WAD
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
South Coast Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 1995 |
SYD
4 - 0
SOU
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1995 |
SOU
2 - 3
ADE
37%
27%
36%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
SOU
1 - 4
GIF
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1995 |
HEU
4 - 3
SOU
41%
27%
33%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
SOU
0 - 3
MZE
63%
21%
16%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |